https://www.replaypoker.com/hand/replay/431235710
I wasn’t paying too much to the game, so I don’t know much about the villain. I do have a note on him that I’ve seen him call 3 streets with top pair weak kicker on a dry king high board. His rank is in the 500’s, so I assume he is a fish.
Preflop: QTs standard open from utg 6 max.
Flop: I’ve hit a very strong drawing hand: straight draw + flush draw + pair. I choose to check-raise this hand since I can get a better hand to fold on the flop (like ax). If I lead, I will only fold out worse hands and get called by better hands and have to run a multistreet bluff. I don’t think I can even get some aces to fold with a double barrel. By check-raising, I represent a much stronger hand and can apply more leverage. If villain doesn’t bet, I’m probably usually and might be able to check it down to river for showdown since villain will bet strong aces or better, and I’m only beat by kx and weak aces. However, flop hits my range very hard. My opponent is likely to check back, so check-raising does not make much sense. I could just bet all my sets and made hands, and check-raise my draws (since my opponent wouldn’t know that). Do you think I should even be check-raising here?
Looking back, I think I should have made a bigger raise since the board is so coordinated, and I need to charge for draws and weak pairs.
Turn: I’ve hit two pair. If I bet, I won’t get a worse hand to call, though I could get better 2 pairs to fold. I think I should have bluffed here with a 2/3 pot bet. I doubt he’ll call with anything other a king or a flush draw, and maybe some sets. I hold clubs and this is my weakest hand in this spot (other than one combo of 78s). I have set aces, queens, jacks, tens, stronger 2 pairs, and 98s to check back with. I also have a decent amount of kings in this spot (KK, KQ, KcTc, Kc9c). Do you think that I should have bluffed here?
River: I check again, no point in bluffing at this point. I have a showdown hand and I want to get to showdown. This is one of my weaker hands so I fold it. He has hands like AK or KQ and a few missed club draws.