snore…
I think the system used is by tagging. When you go through games just losing against a hand slightly better than yours it’s time leave and come back later.
Hi guys, a stuff fairly connected to this subject, i think i have good run at this moment, so i know a day i would bad run, how do manage so as not to be tilted during your bad runs
For me, I just know my ranges and my bet sizes for different spots (streets, positions, etc) and stick to them no matter if you win or lose. If you get sucked out, you get sucked out. Don’t change unless you go back and analyze yourself and find a leak or an issue. Don’t change in the moment.
Another thing about tilting, If I feel agitated over a bad beat or a suckout, and the next hand dealt is marginal, just fold. Also, if you win a huge pot and the next hand dealt is marginal, you feel invincible, just fold. Don’t be tempted to play it just to get back into the action with clouded judgment. Obviously if you have KK play, or 93o fold, but if you have say J9s right after a huge hand either way and you feel emotional, “Dammit I’m gonna beat that guy, I’ll play J9s!” or “Hah, I can’t lose now, let’s open with J9s!” just fold.
I settled on Replay because it plays much more true-to-life than, say, the WSOP App. Play the WSOP app for 10 hands and look at the winning hands. Flush, flush, full house, straight, three-of-a-kind, two pair, flush, straight, full house. I pity the fool who gets dealt pocket aces on that thing…
I often comment something about the card gods not being in my corner, but it’s just joking around. Sometimes they like me, sometimes not
Bro this game has so much variance really, i ■■■■■■■ won 1306 blinds in only 81 hand. If i dont multitabling i loose 63BB instead
@Dudamoti I haven’t kept exact track but ALL of November I got screwed on turns/rivers. It was truly awful. By the middle of the month I was making bad laydowns just because I was so shellshocked. Took the rest of the month just to get my head right again!
Variance
I’ve noticed this site playing a lot more like the WSOP app recently. Seems like most hands are monsters (Ace high flush, full house, straight) and one person connects with the flop 10 times in a row. I picked this site back in the summer because it played the most real, but that seems to be out the window.
This is called variance. Don’t hurt yourself thinking too much.
9/10 boards are paired. Those that aren’t are trips. This site has become such a joke to those who want to hone their actual live game. Sellouts to the grannies playing gams on their ipads. So disappointing…
When people talk about paired boards, there normally just referring to the flop. If you’re going to count anytime there’s at least a pair on the board by the river, you should expect that to happen nearly 50% of the time. I took a quick look through the latest hands you’ve played, and that’s basically what I see.
What you will see on Replay is a lot more turns and rivers in general. So live hands where the board would have eventually paired just never get to that point as often, making them seem less common, but I see no evidence that they are happening at a statistically unexpected rate on Replay.
really
(tbh not a huge bad beat but tbf in replay its like very angry because they play bingo and lucky)
1000 tournament played with 30% ROI and you can stay be losing money 1% of the time, never forgot this
Luck helps bad players more. This is why you think the game is rigged. The game is not rigged. You just assume that it is when buttluck helps the fish. To demonstrate, here is a sample hand with two outcomes.
Pre-flop:
We have AQo from the BT. Fish Villain limps from UtG. It folds to us. We open 4bb. Blinds fold. UtG calls. We are heads-up.
Flop:
Flop is 89 spades, 2 di. Villain checks. Our Q is a spade so we have backdoor 3rd nut and 2 overcards. Our concern should be the straight, so we range Villain. 7x, 8x and 2x can still be beaten (we have 6 outs) or bluffed off. T7, T7s, J7, J7s, T6, T6s, this kind of stuff shouldn’t be in UtG range, but this is a fish after all, could be. Villain also limp-called so he shouldn’t have high pocket pair, likely not even 2 broadways (like us) or he would have opened. He also checks the flop to us so we’re good to value bet here. We lead third-pot. Villain calls just like a call station fish with middle pair or low pocket or draw would.
Now I will give two different endings to the hand which will explain how luck works and how luck is perceived.
Ending 1:
Turn:
A sp gives us top-top and 2nd nut flush draw. Villain checks. We lead half-pot. Villain calls.
River:
T spades gives us 2nd nut flush. It also brings in the straight which is cha-ching-time for us. Villain bets min. He’s just hit the river 2-pair or better, maybe even the straight. We jam him. He calls.
Showdown:
Fish Villain UtG takes the chips with J7sp for straight flush. He had called all of our value (even half-pot!) with a backdoor draw! Total buttluck! He made poor decisions and took our money. Villain fish won this on pure luck. We were unlucky.
Ending 2:
Turn:
Q ht gives us top-top. Villain checks. We value bet another third-pot. Villain calls.
River:
Q cl gives us trips. Villain checks. We bet min for value. Villain calls.
Showdown:
Villain shows A8 (just like a fish would). We win on skill! Pure skill all the way.
But wait. We were lucky. The river was amazing for us. It put us ahead of some accidental 2-pair. Why do we not think that we were lucky? Because we were already ahead on the turn and we didn’t need the luck to win. We outplayed him, so we forget (or ignore) that we were lucky. Luck was totally in our favor here but we would have won without it.
So the moral of the story is, luck is even to everyone. It’s just that when we win we don’t always notice how lucky we were, or we didn’t need the luck. But when players play badly and win, the luck always shows. We always notice the luck when someone plays badly and wins. We don’t notice it very often when we play well and get lucky.
Luck helps worse players much more than it helps good players, so we THINK that the game is rigged by all this bad play getting lucky. But that is just how luck works. The game is not rigged, we just don’t always realize how lucky we are when we play well and win.
Gambling relies on luck. Good players gamble less. They play in spots where the odds are in their favor and less luck is required. That is why they tend to win more. Bad players NEED luck to win, so when they do the luck always shows.
Unless you win most of your pots with bluffs, you are just as lucky as the fish who suck you out. (hint: no one wins most of their pots on bluffs) Luck evens out over time. The game is not rigged.