Determination as good as it is, did not stop, prevent more bad luck in RPOS #8: Extremely very early tournament, I raised AK suited in later position 5.5, 6 x over only 1 limper, blinds. SB, semi fish, called with 98. Flopped a straight with a JTx flop, with pot about 375. I had a combo nut flush, nut straight draw. I made a small bet of about 1/2 pot, pot size about 500. Villain improper bet size reraised to 1000. A 3/5, 2/3, 3/4, 4/5, pot sized, 1.25 x pot, sized bet sizes would have been better, as if reraise bet 1000, then greatly risk folding out, fail to extract value, and if called or reraised all in then against set that can boat up, or against a superior, ahead draw, 2 pair at worst, top pair top kicker, if against a lesser player. Villain’s improper betsize put me in semi tough spot. Since I didnt know Villain had flopped straight, and didnt put villain on 98, and put villain on 88, 99, AJ, AT, KJ, QJ, etc, then I thought I had 72% to win(3 Ace outs, 3 K outs, 3 outs to make nut straight, 9 outs to make flush, 18 total outs x 2 is 36 x 2 streets to come is about 72% to win). Flat calling would have been wrong, so only either fold or all in. I Reraised all in, had about 50% to win, coinflip(reasonably, logically thought was about 69%, 70%, 71%, 72% to win), and got unlucky AGAIN, and have been unlucky in 3 of the 4 RPOS events played so far. Determination doesnt stop variance, bad luck.
Maybe Run good, better luck will happen in the High Roller RPOS events. The good luck in RPOS #6 was almost semi owed, counter balanced all the lots of bad luck.
There is always next year.
Definitely were a few that impressed me…wouldn’t be surprised if one of them won it in the end.
