Younguru, sad that that running bad, etc.
I have a, some suggestions.
The field in the REPOS events are usually comprised of good players, who pay attention, observe, semi tight to semi moderate semi aggro, a couple, few, some, semi call stations, a couple, few, some tight passives, a blend, mix.
I know you like to exploit, bluff the way you do at nosebleed stakes. I play semi tight to semi moderate semi agressive. I bluff about 13% to 27% of time depending on the situation. I just won my 3rd RPOS. In that event I bluffed about 6 to 8 to 10 times, in very good spots, and Cbetted about 67% of time, and about 13% to 23% to 33% to 43% of cbets were air. I also value betted thin at times, bet pot on draws on my value hands, and took 1, 2, 3 players to value town. I switched gears, adjusted according to player, situation, etc. And only 1 of my bluffs got caught. The reason for that, is I chose good spots, and my semi tight to semi moderate play, gained me FOLD EQUITY, GOOD TABLE image, that I was able to cash in, exploit, via some bluffs in good spots.
Your way can work too, but it is HIGHER VARIANCE then my way, and against the RPOS field I dont think it will work quite as good as the way I play, talking about. almost as good, but you can have a slightly bigger edge, if you bluff slightly less, see the flop about 27%, VPIP about 24%, 25%, 26%, 27%, play tighter in early position then you do in later position, if you set up your bluffs thru your play, and be very picky, choosy, as far as picking your bluff spots well.
In your first AQ hand example. Unless your up against a nit, tight passive, or you know they not call station, or you know they have nothing, not even AJ, AQ, AK, KQ AIR hands, you should not be c betting, or bluffing 952 type rainbow boards, unless you have good table image, have position on them, see them check to you, are in Hi Jack, etc, because your likely range likely misses the board, and likely hits villains calling range. It also can be good to delay cbet that 952 board at times, if they double check to you.
If a Ace hits the board, then usually dont cbet Ace on board unless your 1 on 1 vs BB, SB, button, everyone else is semi likely to call with, could easily have a A. If a K hits board then same type of thing, but can sometimes cbet the K, a little tiny bit more then ace, If a Q or J hit boards like Q72, J62, then cbet, bluff those boards occasionally, some, etc. Bluff Q, J scare cards, some, because Q, J is scary to opponent, and doesn’t hit your opponents calling range, like a A, 9, 8,7, etc.
If you go by that, your bluffs will drop a bit, but you will still be semi balanced, and you’ll probably have more success, with less variance, in the RPOS. Why dont you give it a try 1,2 times. Hopefully that helps.
Good Luck Younguru. I rooting, pulling for you to win a spot into TOC.
