Flopping a set is 2 in 50 or 4%, no? 52 cards less the 2 in your pocket = 50, and 2 outs left in the stub = 2/50.
Thatās correct if the flop was only 1 card. For three cards you can approximately just multiply that by three.
The easiest way of calculating the correct odds is to figure out the chances of not flopping a set with each card, multiplying those together and subtracting that from one, ie: 1 - 48/50 * 47/49 * 46/48 = 11.8%
Right, of course. Dāuh!
WRONG-3 cards are flopped-divided by 25 is about 1 in 8 or around 12.5%
That is what i basically said, geez:)
Donāt forget:
Sets = Sets - Quads - Boats
This makes the chance to get a Set on flop a little bit lower.
You calculate the chance to get a Set or higher.
Wow, this is a great story to illustrate the importance of paying at least a little attention to math. I admit it honestly: Iām not a mathematician at all. But even the elementary counting of outs is already a little math that helps you make decisions that are right one way or another, even if you donāt get lucky a couple of times, but in most cases, luck will smile on you. Playing poker is really an art, but like any other activity, whether itās work, leisure, hobbies, shopping or anything else, mathematics surrounds us everywhere. Even if we use the most primitive skills, it will have a positive effect on our game.
Thatās why I want to thank you for this post and sincerely believe that your article will make many players at least think about the fact that poker and mathematics go hand in hand and mathematics is an integral part of poker that simply cannot be ignored if you want to develop in this game.