CONTEST - Guess the time of the 500 Millionth hand!

May 30th 5:35am

-Marc

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May 31st 00:05

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Looks like I can revise! Going with May 30th at 6:30 a.m. PST.

May 30 10:55 am

May 30th 6:31pm est

May 29 @ 7:46 p.m. ET.
DudeItsDad

The guess window is almost over! Don’t forget - if you already made a guess, you can still post a new one before the cutoff.

May 29 at 8:45 pm

5-29-19 at 5:48 pm… gla

May 29th, 612pm.

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May 29th 10 :oo pm est

This contest is now closed! A reminder that all guesses will be interpreted as being US Eastern Time unless otherwise specified at the time of posting.

Can’t wait to see how this plays out! You’re more than welcome to continue to speculate, but only guesses prior to this post will count.

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grats ltl-torcher for being the winner of the hand, not the time…
I was 1hour 18 mins off

Congratulations Replay, on reaching 500 millionth hand.

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Congrats, FatnSassy. Looks like you’re off by 1 whole minute. Great job. Official results will follow, no doubt. (Glum face) I was off by about 10 hours and killed two calculators in the process. Requires skill to kill a calculator, you know.

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You can try Google sheet to do the calculations. Its much easier. It does date arithmetic also.

For example:

	A		    B			            C          D       E
1	497728000	May 21, 2019 12:50 PM			
2   499645000	May 28, 2019 12:47 PM	273,939	   1.30	   May 29, 2019 7:53 PM

Take any two hands played within a week from the ‘Latest Hands’ or wherever. May be better to get exactly in one week interval, as it will cover the weekly variations, week days and weekends.

Copy and paste the hand numbers in cell A1 and A2, copy and paste the time in B1 and B2. In cell C2, calculate the rate at which the hands are played per day, as =(A2-A1)/(B2-B1). In D2, find the remaining hands as (500,000,000-A2) and divide it by the daily rate, =(500,000,000-A2)/C2. This will give the required days to reach 500 million hands. In E2, add these days to B2, =B2+D2. E2 will give the date and time it will reach the 500 million hands. (All cells need to be formatted (format, drop down) appropriately).

If further adjusted to daily variation, will get the time pretty close.

Added: Date arithmetic is a new thing I found out, while doing this exercise.

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CONGRATULATIONS to @FatnSassy! What an impressive guess! With an entry of 6:12pm, she takes the prize, as the hand played out at 6:09pm. Your chips have been awarded. Enjoy the 500k, and thanks for helping us get to hand 500 million!

I appreciate everyone’s participation, feedback, and patience. One more thanks to @Sassy_Sarah for the contest idea, who got quite close with her own guess.

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Well played everyone! Hearty congratulations to FatnSassy!! Well done.

Very good contest and Nice going for All the Winners. Hope there is another one before the Big Billion. Maybe Lucky 7’s ???

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Congrats @FatnSassy ,
you were 3 min off , and I was only 11 minutes off…
Either way…

a SASSY won !!!

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